Monday, October 29, 2012

An Israeli Analysis On What Kind Of Regional Blocs Will Emerge From The Syrian Civil War



The Geopolitical Poker Game That Will Define The New Mideast -- Ely Karmon, Haaretz

Analysts from across the Middle East shed light on what kind of Syria and what kind of regional blocs will emerge from the current crisis.

The uprising in Syria will have a tremendous influence on the future strategic landscape of the Middle East. The struggle inside Syria between the Alawite regime and the amalgam of opposition forces is the battle-ground for powerful regional players: Iran’s Shi'ite coalition against the recently reborn and assertive Sunni alliance.

The international community has been unable to reach an agreement to solve the Syrian crisis, divided as it is between, on the one hand, the anti-Assad bloc: the U.S. and its allies, amongst whom can be counted the 110 countries who participated in recent "Friends of Syria" conferences; and on the other, pro-Assad Russia, China and Iran. This has produced an unstable deadlock, a "limited cold war" (a description given by former Iranian diplomat Mohammed Ali Sobhani), but one that constantly threatens to transmutate into a "hot" war in Syria with the active participation of armies and proxies from all sides.

Read more ....

My Comment: I concur with their worst case scenario of a "Fortress Alawi".

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