Monday, July 16, 2012

Will The Syrian Civil War Last A Long Time?



As Civil War Rages In Syria, It Is Unlikely That There Will Be A Rapid Resolution Of This Conflict -- Michael Burleigh, Daily Mail

The International Committee of the Red Cross has officially declared that a civil war is raging in Syria. Although this has been obvious for some time, this declaration means that all parties to the conflict are legally obliged to respect the Geneva Conventions, regarding avoiding civilian casualties, treatment of the wounded and prisoners of war.

This lends the opposition the official status of an army. Anyone deemed in violation of these conventions could be prosecuted for war crimes at the international tribunal in the Hague. In reality states tend to fall foul of such declarations since they have clear command structures and hierarchies. Tough luck then for Bashir al-Assad.

Read more ....

My Comment: The same was said about Gaddafi .... that his forces were positioned to outlast the rebels for a year or two .... but as we all know, the opposite happened. Syria will probably turn out the same way. The major cities will quickly fall and the Assad family (and loyalists) will flee to Alawite dominated regions and do their last stand before fleeing the country or being killed.

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