Showing posts with label financial crisis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label financial crisis. Show all posts

Tuesday, November 13, 2012

National Security And The Fiscal Cliff



How The Fiscal Crisis Puts National Security At Risk -- Robert Kagan, Washington Post

In the interest of national security, and the preservation of the world order the United States has upheld and benefited from since World War II, Republicans and Democrats must make the necessary compromises and agree on a deal to address the nation’s fiscal crisis in both the near and the long term.

I am not an economist or a budget analyst, so I don’t presume to know exactly what a “grand bargain” should look like. It seems pretty obvious that a compromise will require both tax reform, including if necessary some tax increases, and entitlement reform, since those programs are the biggest driver of the fiscal crisis. What I do know, as a national security analyst, is that our continuing failure to address the crisis in a way that makes possible a return to stable economic growth has become a serious foreign policy problem.

Read more ....

My Comment:
I am not optimistic that a 'comprehensive' deal will be reached. What we will have will either be a delay in sequestration .... or .... and this is what I expect .... tax increases with promises of entitlement reform that (surprise surprise) will not happen. The debt ceiling will be raised again, and this fiscal crisis will revisit us again within two years. In the interim .... the economy will slip into a so-so recession, and the US defense budget will still be cut drastically .... sequestration or no sequestration.

Friday, August 10, 2012

Why Are U.S. Banks Being Told To Prepare For Collapse Right Now

Exclusive: U.S. Banks Told To Make Plans For Preventing Collapse -- Reuters

(Reuters) - U.S. regulators directed five of the country's biggest banks, including Bank of America Corp and Goldman Sachs Group Inc, to develop plans for staving off collapse if they faced serious problems, emphasizing that the banks could not count on government help.

The two-year-old program, which has been largely secret until now, is in addition to the "living wills" the banks crafted to help regulators dismantle them if they actually do fail. It shows how hard regulators are working to ensure that banks have plans for worst-case scenarios and can act rationally in times of distress.

Officials like Lehman Brothers former Chief Executive Dick Fuld have been criticized for having been too hesitant to take bold steps to solve their banks' problems during the financial crisis.

Read more
....

My Comment:
Why are US Banks being told to forget about help from the US government in the event of a financial crisis? Why is the US government telling the banks this info now? What do they know that they are not telling us?

Sunday, March 25, 2012

Many Military Families Are Hurting Financially

Financial Struggles Common Among Military Families -- CBS News

SEATTLE — Military families aren't surprised when they hear about the financial struggles that Staff Sgt. Robert Bales, his wife and children faced at home. It's part of their lives, too.

They say money problems can never justify doing what the military says Bales did: kill 17 civilians in a nighttime shooting rampage through two Afghan villages on March 11. Still, the details emerging about his life served as a prominent reminder of the hardship they have endured over a decade of two wars.

"The stress factors with the families is just unbelievable," said Roger J. Mealey, a Vietnam veteran who runs a website to aid struggling military families.

Read more ....

My Comment: You definitely do not join the military for the money.

Tuesday, October 11, 2011

More Bailouts, More Debt, More Crises

Economic Policy In The E.U.: More Bailouts, More Debt, More Crises -- Doug Bandow, Forbes

BRUSSELS—Belgium’s capital dates back to the sixth century, but today the modern dominates. As the headquarters of the European Union, Brussels is filled with contemporary office buildings overflowing with meddlesome bureaucrats. What began as a system of economic cooperation has turned into quasi-continental government.

But the so-called European Project risks collapse. While establishment elites want more political integration, Europe’s financial crisis is turning its people inward. So far the E.U.’s confused response to Greece’s fiscal crisis has exacerbated the continent’s long-term economic and political problems.

Read more ....

My Comment: Cannot disagree with this assessment, and it appears that the Germans are finally throwing in the towel.

Saturday, October 8, 2011

Global Trade Is At Risk

Time to get serious: France's President Sarkozy, US President Obama, German Chancellor Merkel and Britain's Prime Minister David Cameron Photo: REUTERS

An Entire System Of Global Trade Is At Risk -- The Telegraph

Next month’s G20 summit must go beyond the usual rhetoric. Confidence in the eurozone’s banking system has to be restored through recapitalisation of its banks.

Sir Mervyn King, the Governor of the Bank of England, this week called the current financial crisis “the most serious… since the 1930s, if ever”, in justification for a further £75 billion of “quantitative easing”. Since Sir Mervyn cited the chaos of the inter-war years, it seems appropriate to quote Winston Churchill: “Want of foresight, unwillingness to act when action would be simple and effective, lack of clear thinking, confusions of counsel, until the emergency comes, until self-preservation strikes its jarring gong – these are the features that constitute the endless repetition of history.”

Read more ....

My Comment: Should be surprised that we are repeating 2008 .... no. Governments have an addiction to spend .... especially to their own special interest groups. In a time when budgets should have been tightened up and spending controlled .... governments continued business as normal without realizing that business cannot return to normal until our debts are under control. Sighhh .... governments and our banking institutions should have tightened up .... but in the end .... expect this for Europe ... .and this for the U.S. .... and global trade will be the poorer for it.

Update:
IMF advisor: 'In The Absence Of A Credible Plan We Will Have A Global Financial Meltdown In Two To Three Weeks' -- American Thinker

Thursday, October 6, 2011

Bank of England Governor: World Facing Worst Financial Crisis In History

Bank of England Governor Mervyn King

World Facing Worst Financial Crisis In History, Bank of England Governor Says -- The Telegraph

The world is facing the worst financial crisis since at least the 1930s “if not ever”, the Governor of the Bank of England said last night.

Sir Mervyn King was speaking after the decision by the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee to put £75billion of newly created money into the economy in a desperate effort to stave off a new credit crisis and a UK recession.

Economists said the Bank’s decision to resume its quantitative easing [QE], or asset purchase programme, showed it was increasingly fearful for the economy, and predicted more such moves ahead.

Sir Mervyn said the Bank had been driven by growing signs of a global economic disaster.

Read more ....

My Comment:
Throughout history economic/financial dislocations were usually followed by large wars .... let us hope that in this cycle such an event will not happen.

Sunday, October 2, 2011

Greece's Economic Crisis Is Changing The Fabric Of Society In Athens



Greece Is Slipping Into The Abyss -- The Telegraph

As the economic crisis worsens, the very fabric of society in Athens is being ripped apart as the Greeks lose their good humour and generosity.

Greek grannies are as ubiquitous and iconic as Greek cats. Dressed immaculately in widow’s black, and with their grey hair neatly styled, they are proud figures. They are treated with respect by even the most rebellious youths, and acknowledged by all as the head of the fiercely maternal family groups that bind Greek society together.

The old lady I saw on the street in Athens this week was typical, except in one shocking respect. She was begging. Beggars are normal here these days, but almost all are immigrants or drug users. This was different. The image of this proud woman sitting on a plastic crate outside the supermarket with her hands out has stayed in my mind. If a symbol is needed to illustrate the unravelling of Greek society, then this is it.

Read more
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My Comment
: This story reminds me of Russia at the height of its financial collapse in 1992. Elderly citizens .... some of them war heroes .... selling their few belongings on the street. Mothers with their young children begging just a block away from the Kremlin. Scores of homeless people sleeping in Moscow's major train station. Russia as I know it changed completely after the collapse of the Soviet Union and the financial chaos that sweeped after it .... and it has not come back.

Sighhh .... this is the future for Greece in the next year or two .... and probably for a few other countries in southern Europe as well.

Friday, September 30, 2011

Is Stagflation Here To Stay

World Is Heading For 'Great Stagnation', Says Goldman -- The Telegraph

There is a growing risk that the global economy will move from the 'Great Recession' into the 'Great Stagnation', according to economists at Goldman Sachs.

Stagnations typically mean long periods of sluggish growth of about 0.5pc, low inflation, rising and sticky unemployment, stagnant house prices, and lower returns on shares, they said.

There is a 40pc chance of the current situation developing into a period of stagnation among developed economies, Goldman calculated.

"Trends in Europe and the US are so far still following growth paths that would be typical of stagnations," they said in a note.

Read more
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My Comment: Of course .... if the Euro goes bust and takes down a number of banks .... the 'Great Stagflation' can easily turn into the 'Great Depression'.

Sunday, September 25, 2011

IMF Admits That It Is Short Of Cash. Cannot Save The Euro

(Click on Image to Enlarge)

IMF Admits It Might Not Be Able To Save The Euro As It Emerges That Current Threat Is 'Worse Than Crisis In 2008' -- Daily Mail

The International Monetary Fund last night issued an extraordinary warning that it might not have enough cash to stem the crisis engulfing the Eurozone, prompting fears that Britain could be forced to find billions more to bail out debt-stricken economies.

Chancellor George Osborne has refused to put British funds on the line for a new EU rescue scheme but he would be unable to resist a call from the IMF to do more.

Read more ....

Update: Christine Lagarde: IMF may need billions in extra funding -- The Telegraph

My Comment: The next 4-6 weeks are going to be rough, but with no political will in Greece and other heavily indebted countries to confront and resolve their heavy debts .... default and euro collapse is in the offing.

Wednesday, September 14, 2011

The Coming Financial Disaster From Europe


Europe's Banks Are Staring Into The Abyss -- The Telegraph

Where now for European banks? Sir Howard Davies, former chairman of Britain's Financial Services Authority, said on BBC Radio's Today programme on Tuesday morning that he thought the French government was only days away from having to recapitalise the country's banking system for a second time. It's hard to disagree.

The panic seems to have been temporarily stemmed by a statement from BNP Paribas to the effect that it wasn't having the problems widely reported of finding dollar funding. There was also an emphatic denial of discussions over state intervention. But no-one is kidding themselves.

Read more ....

My Comment: Is Europe (and the world) facing a financial disaster? Here is a brief montage of today`s headlines .....

Geithner: Economy in "an early stage" of crisis.
International alarm over euro zone crisis grows.
Moody's cuts French banks, eurobond talk lifts markets.
Markets in thrall to eurozone worries
Greek PM to hold crisis talks with Merkel, Sarkozy.
Banks already dealing with the Greek inevitability.
Greece gets closer to the brink: Merkel and Sarkozy to hold talks over debt crisis

.... It certainly does not look good, especially since I cannot argue with this assessment.

Update: I call this stating the obvious.

Friday, September 9, 2011

World Entering 'Dangerous New Phase': IMF Chief Lagarde

IMF head Christine Lagarde. © Reuters

World Entering 'Dangerous New Phase': Lagarde -- CNBC

Christine Lagarde, the managing director of the International Monetary Fund, warned that the global economy is entering a "dangerous new phase" on Friday, ahead of the G7 summit in Marseilles, France.

She warned that both advanced and emerging economies faced key economic challenges, and that governments must "act now" to stop further contagion.

"Policymakers should stand ready, as needed, to take more action to support the recovery, including through unconventional measures," Lagarde said.

Read more ....

My Comment: IMF Chief Lagarde is focusing her concerns/ire at this situation .... but she is already too late.

Sunday, August 28, 2011

New IMF Head: World Economy Is In A Dangerous' Phase

Hard-hitting: IMF chief Christine Lagarde has issued a stark warning on the risks posed to European banks by the global economy. This Is Money



World Economy In 'Dangerous' Phase, Warns Lagarde -- Irish Times



CHRISTINE LAGARDE, the new managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), warned the world economy was in a “dangerous new phase” and that officials must take new steps to strengthen growth.



Ms Lagarde, speaking to international finance officials and economists in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, said the US should arrest a slide in house prices, while European banks must be required to boost capital to prevent the Continent’s debt crisis from affecting more countries.



The US and European Union should enforce long-term budget discipline to free up cash for short- term stimulus, she said.



“We risk seeing the fragile recovery derailed,” Ms Lagarde (55) said. “So we must act now.”



Read more ....



My Comment: The new IMF chief is blunt in her comments .... but the "have" countries in Europe are now fed-up with these constant bail-outs, and are about to throw in the towel.



Update: Urgent action needed to strengthen European banks as global economy enters 'dangerous new phase', warns IMF chief Lagarde -- This Is Money

Sunday, August 7, 2011

Everyone Will Be Looking At The Financial Markets This Monday

Markets are hoping the central banks and world leaders will act decisively to halt the slide in global markets.

Berlin Fears Eurozone Cannot Rescue Italian Economy -- Deutche Welle

German officials fear Europe may be unable to fund a rescue package for Italy, should Rome need it, a German news magazine reports. Not even tripling the EU's bailout fund would be enough to rescue the Italian economy.

Fears are growing in Berlin that Italy's economy may be too big to be rescued by the European stability fund, German news magazine Der Spiegel reported on Sunday.

According to a report published in the German weekly, Italy's financial needs are so great that a rescue package would most likely eclipse the capacity of the European emergency fund, even if it was tripled in size.

Read more ....

My Comment: The European Central Bank is acting to quell this debt crisis .... purchasing bonds to shore up both Italy and Spain and avoid a "financial disaster" (WNU Editor: Their words, not mine).

Unfortunately .... I believe that the Daily Telegraph's chief political commentator Peter Oborne is correct when he states .... In this grave crisis, the world's leaders are terrifyingly out of their depth.

WNU Editor: If you want to know what is happening in the Pre-Markets, as well as the Asian-European markets .... go here.

Saturday, August 6, 2011

What Will Be The End Result Of Europe's And America's Financial/Debt Crisis

Paying the bills: While its great rival China sits atop a mountain of cash, America sits on a mountain of debt. Photo: REUTERS

China Blasts US 'Debt Addiction' And Calls For New Global Stable Reserve Currency -- The Telegraph

China has condemned the United States for its "debt addiction" and called for a new global stable reserve currency after Standard & Poor's cut its credit rating.

In a harshly-worded commentary by the official Xinhua news agency, China gave its first official comments on the United States losing its gilded AAA long-term credit rating.

"China, the largest creditor of the world's sole superpower, has every right now to demand the United States address its structural debt problems and ensure the safety of China's dollar assets," Xinhua said.

China also urged the United States to apply "common sense" to "cure its addiction to debts" by cutting military and social welfare expenditure.

Read more ....

Update:
Top creditor China delivers unexpected fiscal demands to U.S. after historic credit downgrade -- L.A. Times

My Comment: The Chinese are not the only ones voicing this opinion .... some of America's closest allies are now starting to accept this position. More support for a change in the US as the world's reserve currency is now coming from the banks.

Tuesday, July 19, 2011

Getting Ready For The Next Financial Crisis

A Second Financial Crisis If We Don't Learn From The Last One -- Adrian Pabst, The National

Both the United States and the euro zone seem to be in the grip of a debt crisis that is fast getting out of control. If the debt ceiling is not raised, the US federal government will run out of money and go into default.

Across the Atlantic, the fiscal firestorm that has hit Greece, Ireland and Portugal now threatens to engulf Italy and possibly Spain. Political stalemate in Washington and Brussels is fuelling a sense of panic that will spread to the financial centres of other advanced economies and emerging markets.

Read more ....

My Comment: Excessive and uncontrollable spending coupled with huge debts .... a perfect recipe for disaster, and one that our governments and the electorate that votes these politicians in are willing to accept.

Thursday, July 14, 2011

U.S. Credit Facing Downgrgade


Learn more about
us debt.


Moody’s Places U.S. On Review For Downgrade As Debt Talks Stall -- Bloomberg

Moody’s Investors Service put the U.S. under review for a credit rating downgrade as talks to raise the government’s $14.3 trillion debt limit stall, adding to concern that political gridlock will lead to a default.

The Aaa ratings of financial institutions directly linked to the U.S. government, including Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, the Federal Home Loan Banks, and the Federal Farm Credit Banks, were also put on review for cuts, Moody’s said in a statement today.

Read more
....

My Comment
: S&P has also made the same warning. The debt clock is here. Just for everyone`s info .... if this downgrade proceeds, it will be the first time since 1917.

Update: The cost of this review is now being felt.

Monday, July 11, 2011

Debt/Financial Crisis Keeps On Getting Worse



Obama, Congressional Leaders Fail To Break Debt Deadlock -- L.A. Times

Obama continues to push for a $4-trillion deal to reduce deficits, but an impasse over spending and taxes remains. Negotiators will meet again Monday.

President Obama continued to push for a $4-trillion deal to rein in government deficits Sunday, but a White House meeting with congressional leaders failed to break the deadlock over spending and taxes that has stalemated discussions for more than a month.

Negotiators agreed to another meeting Monday but otherwise showed little progress from their 75-minute session. Republicans repeated their position that a deficit-cutting deal cannot include any additional tax revenue, according to congressional officials. Obama scheduled a news conference for 8 a.m. PDT Monday to update the public on the negotiations.

Read more ....

More News On The Financial/Debt Crisis

White House meeting ends with little progress -- AP
More Debt Talks Set for Monday at White House -- FOX News
Obama, congressional leaders don’t make headway on debt limit -- Washington Post
Boehner: spending curbs, no tax hikes in debt deal -- Reuters
Political leaders plan another day of deficit-reduction talks -- CNN
Obama and Congressional Leaders Meet, More Talks Scheduled for Monday -- ABC News
No deal reached on budget, debt issues -- UPI
Obama calls more talks to seek US debt deal -- AFP

Will euro debt crisis swallow Italy next? EC fears Rome will follow Athens, Dublin and Lisbon -- Daily Mail
Top EU officals meet over Italy debt contagion fears -- The Telegraph
Exclusive: EU Calls Emergency Meeting As Crisis Stalks Italy -- Reuters
Italian Debt Adds to Fears in Euro Zone -- New York Times
US hedge funds bet against Italian bonds -- Financial Times
Eurozone split as it takes fresh stab at Greece -- AFP
EU stance shifts on Greece default -- Financial Times
EU Calls Top Officials to Meet on Greece Aid -- Wall Street Journal
EU faces worse fate than bank crises -- Financial Times
Euro Drops as European Leaders to Meet Amid Contagion Concerns -- SFGate/Bloomberg
ECB Is Heading for Some Hefty Icebergs -- Wall Street Journal
The West is in for a rude awakening after years of abusing 'risk-free' debt -- Liam Halligan, The Telegraph

Saturday, June 18, 2011

Greece Gets Its Bailout

Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy before talks in Berlin yesterday. Photograph: Steffen Kugler/Getty Images

Germany Eases Stance, Boosting Hope For Greek Aid -- Bloomberg Businessweek

Germany softened its position on giving Greece more help by agreeing with France on Friday that private investors would be involved only on a voluntary basis, a move that boost hopes the debt-ridden country will get another rescue package.

Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy announced they had reached common ground on the delicate topic of involving Greece's bondholders, calming fears Germany wanted to see losses forced on private creditors.

Read more
....

Update: Hopes for 'Greek miracle' as Merkel changes position -- Irish Times

My Comment: I guess this reporter's analysis came true.

Thursday, June 16, 2011

What Will Be The Impact Of A Greek Default



What A Greek Default Could Mean For You (In English)-- ABC News

Greece, a small nation in southern Europe, is having an outsize impact on the U.S. economy amid fears among investors that Greece might default on its debt.

The news comes just as the U.S. is seeing some positive signs regarding unemployment benefits and mortgage payment rates.

Fewer Americans applied for jobless benefits in the past three weeks, and more have stayed current on their mortgage payments than at any time since 2006, before the nationwide housing crisis spurred the great recession.

Read more ....

Previous Post:
A Guide On Who Will Be Impacted If Greece Defaults

My Comment: Even the Chinese are rushing in concerned about Europe's debt/financial crisis .... but everyone knows that it is not working.

Wednesday, June 15, 2011

A Guide On Who Will Be Impacted If Greece Defaults



A Quick Guide To Who Gets Crushed If Greece Defaults -- Business Insider

The situation in Greece is deteriorating this morning, with eurozone leadership unable to come to a decision on a second bailout, which has now been pushed back to July.

Protests are ongoing in Athens, where leaders are trying to come to a deal on a second round of austerity measures, including privatizations and budget cuts.

Read more ....

My Comment: A good summary on who will impacted by a Greece default .... in short .... it will be everyone.