Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Has Iran Made A Strategic Mistake In Relying On Allies Like Hamas And Hezbollah?

Is This How The Israel-Iran War Begins? -- Michael Rubin, Commentary

Experts and defense analysts agree that Iran would respond to any Israeli strike on its nuclear facilities by proxy, specifically by Hamas and Hezbollah rocketry launched at Israeli towns and cities. Indeed, this is one of the reasons beyond sheer ideological spite that the Iranian leadership has gone to such great lengths to arm both Hamas and Hezbollah.

The Iranian leadership may be coming very close to forcing Israel’s hand. If Hezbollah seeks to open a second front against Israel, then Israel could find itself in a two-front war with terrorist entities. Make no mistake, Israel would achieve its objective of destroying the majority of the longest-range and most lethal missiles supplied to Hamas and Hezbollah by Iran, Syria, and perhaps even North Korea.

Read more ....

My Comment: I suspect that the Iranians are now wondering if their reliance on allies like Hamas and Hezbollah over security issues were based on certain premises that (with hindsight) were probably over optimistic. And while I do expect Iran to continue to assist their 'comrades in arms' after this conflict is over .... I do not expect them to continue spending the hundreds of millions of dollars per year that they have committed themselves to.

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