Saturday, December 26, 2009

Nuclear Proliferation: Experts Predict 2010 Will Be A Terrible Year


From Arms Control Wonk:

In June 2005, Senator Richard Lugar released the findings of a survey he commissioned of nonproliferation experts. Eighty-five of us responded. Here are some of our pessimistic findings:

“Question 1: In your estimate, how many nations that do not currently possess a working nuclear weapon will be added to the nuclear weapons club during the next 5 years?

More than 78% of respondents agreed that one or two new nations would acquire nuclear weapons during the next five years. More than 89% agreed that between one and three new nuclear nations would emerge during this period.”

Read more
....

My Comment:
North Korea and Iran are the two focal points (for 2010) when it comes to nuclear proliferation. The growth and development of a nuclear weapons program in these countries has the potential to lay the groundwork for other countries to then develop their own programs .... will this happen .... I have my doubts but I do know that on this point of view I am in the minority.

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